Thursday 31 May 2012

Euro break-up 'could wipe 50pc off London house prices'

By Emma Rowley

6:00AM BST 31 May 2012




Property prices in the capital’s most sought-after postcodes have been driven up by investors moving funds out of assets held in euros to buy into what is seen as a “safe haven” alternative.

Foreign money seeking a refuge from the wider economic turmoil accounted for 60pc of acquisitions of prime central London property between 2007 and 2011, according to a report by Fathom Consulting for Development Securities.

If the shared currency broke up completely, London property would initially be boosted by the continued flight towards a safe haven, the report predicts.

But, once the break-up had taken place, demand for these assets as an insurance against this event would start to ebb

“Although fears about a messy end to the euro debt crisis may account for much of the gain in prime central London (PCL) prices that has taken place over the past two years, we find that a break-up of the single currency area is also the single greatest threat to PCL,” said researchers.

In our judgment, a collapse of the single currency area could ultimately produce a 50pc fall in the value of PCL property.”

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