By Dean
Cheng
May 21, 2012
May 21, 2012
Abstract:
Over the past decade, there has been growing interest in
legal warfare or “lawfare.” While the U.S. is focusing on the interplay between
the law and counterinsurgency operations, China is approaching lawfare from a
different perspective: as an offensive weapon capable of hamstringing opponents
and seizing the political initiative. Indeed, Chinese planners are almost
certainly preparing legal war plans aimed at controlling the enemy through the
law or using the law to constrain the enemy. Consequently, the United States
must take steps to prepare for the possibility of legal warfare and incorporate
defensive measures into its strategic, operational, and tactical
policies.
Over the past decade, many nations have demonstrated a growing interest in
legal warfare or “lawfare.” In the United States, lawfare discussions are
focusing on the interplay between the law and counterinsurgency operations.
Specifically, the U.S. is concerned that opponents, especially insurgents, may
employ legal means to secure victories that they cannot obtain on the
battlefield.
The People’s Republic of China (PRC), and, in particular, the People’s
Liberation Army (PLA), is approaching lawfare from a different perspective: as
an offensive weapon capable of hamstringing opponents and seizing the political
initiative in wartime.
Context: The “Three Warfares”
Chinese writings often refer to the “three warfares” (san zhan):
public opinion warfare, psychological warfare, and legal warfare.
Chinese
analyses almost always link the three together, as they are seen as interrelated
and mutually reinforcing.
- Public opinion/media warfare is the struggle to gain dominance over the venue for implementing psychological and legal warfare. It is seen as a stand-alone form of warfare or conflict, as it may occur independent of whether there is an actual outbreak of hostilities. Indeed, it is perhaps best seen as a constant, ongoing activity, aimed at long-term influence of perceptions and attitudes. One of the main tools of public opinion/media warfare is the news media, including both domestic and foreign entities. The focus of public opinion/media warfare is not limited to the press, however; it involves all of the instruments that inform and influence public opinion (e.g., movies, television programs, and books).
- Psychological warfare provides the underpinning for both public opinion/media warfare and legal warfare. With regard to the PLA, psychological warfare involves disrupting the enemy’s decision-making capacity by sapping their will, arousing anti-war sentiments (and therefore eroding the perception of popular support), and causing an opponent to second-guess himself—all while defending against an opponent’s attempts to conduct similar operations.
- Legal warfare is one of the key instruments of psychological and public opinion/media warfare. It raises doubts among adversary and neutral military and civilian authorities, as well as the broader population, about the legality of adversary actions, thereby diminishing political will and support—and potentially retarding military activity. It also provides material for public opinion/media warfare. Legal warfare does not occur on its own; rather, it is part of the larger military or public opinion/media warfare campaign.
In order to be as effective as possible, both
psychological warfare and legal warfare require the use of public opinion
warfare. Public opinion warfare and legal warfare require psychological warfare
guidance so that their targets and methods can be refined. Public opinion
warfare and psychological warfare are, in turn, strengthened by information
gleaned through legal warfare.
Legal Warfare: Chinese Definitions
In the People’s Republic of China, and especially
the PLA, the concept of legal warfare (falu zhanzheng or falu
zhan) has sparked a great deal of discussion.
This interest was codified
when, on December 5, 2003, the PRC promulgated the “Political Work Regulations
of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army”—a regulation specifying that the
General Political Department (GPD), in its implementation of political work, was
to undertake the “three warfares.”
From the Chinese perspective, political warfare, including legal warfare, is
seen as a form of combat.
Military combat preparations include the development
and innovation of military political work, as well as more kinetic forms of
operations.
Indeed, political warfare is seen as a vital complement for more
traditional forms of military operations. While they may not be decisive in
their own right, political warfare tactics nonetheless may allow their
practitioner to seize the initiative and otherwise multiply the effects of
military power.
Legal warfare, at its most basic, involves “arguing
that one’s own side is obeying the law, criticizing the other side for violating
the law [weifa], and making arguments for one’s own side in cases where
there are also violations of the law.”
The instruments of legal warfare include
national laws as well as the full range of legal instruments: legislation,
judicial law, legal pronouncements, law enforcement, and legal education.
Like more conventional forms of warfare, legal warfare is conducted under a
unified command organization. It will include the use of the law in implementing
offensive actions, defensive actions, counterattacking actions, and other forms
of combat.
Legal warfare includes such operations as legal deterrence (falu
weishe) and the imposition of sanctions (zhicai).
In order to influence domestic and foreign
populations and leaders, legal warfare is most commonly employed before the
outbreak of physical hostilities. Furthermore, such a preemptive legal strike
can weaken opposing coalitions while building support for one’s own side.
In
wartime, “The aim is to psychologically dissipate the other sides’ fighting will
in both the military and the civilian realms, while exciting one’s own military
and civilian passions and obtaining international sympathy and support.”
Legal warfare is also an important tool for consolidating gains made during a
war.
Context: Influences Shaping Legal Warfare
Underlying the Chinese interest in legal warfare are two broad influences: a
different view of the role of law and a perception that other states already
employ legal warfare.
Chinese Views of the Role and Rule of Law. Important historical and
cultural considerations inform the PRC’s understanding of legal warfare, an
understanding that is very different from that of the West.
The concept of the
rule of law—that the law exists as a distinct autonomous entity and applies to
both the ruler and the ruled—is one of the foundations of the West’s legal
traditions. Despite its importance to the West, however, the rule-of-law maxim
remained weak throughout imperial China and was ultimately devastated by Maoist
rule.
The Confucian and Legalist schools of thought had the greatest impact on
imperial Chinese understanding of the law. Confucianism emphasized morality and
ethics as the proper basis for managing society. Laws were secondary to the
network of obligations enunciated under the Confucian ethic, supplemented by the
presence of “moral men” who would apply the law and, more important, enforce
morality and ethics. The Legalist “school” (more a loose set of ideas
articulated by various scholars who disagreed with Confucianism) placed more
emphasis on the creation of legal (as opposed to ethical) codes. But, like the
Confucianists, the Legalists saw the law as a means of enforcing societal (and
state) control of the population. No strong tradition that held the law as a
means of constraining authority itself ever developed in China.
In the broadest sense, pre-1911 Chinese society
viewed the law from an instrumental perspective—a means by which authority could
control the population rather than a control extended over authority. Thus,
imperial China may be said to have experienced rule by law, not rule
of law. Not surprisingly, a strong, independent judiciary failed to
develop in imperial China, while lawyers were neither numerous nor held in high
esteem.
During the early years of the PRC, Chinese legal
development was influenced by the Marxist perspective that the “law should serve
as an ideological instrument of politics.”
Consequently, during the formative years
of the PRC, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) considered the law to be
essentially an instrument of governance, but not a constraint upon the Party,
much less the Great Helmsman (Mao Zedong). In any case, the Party exercised rule
by decree rather than through legal mechanisms. During the Cultural Revolution,
Mao himself effectively abolished both the judiciary and the legal structure.
Since the passing of Mao, the CCP has made a concerted effort to create a
body of laws—a tacit admission that governance by decree is incompatible with
the expansion and modernization of China’s economy. Most of these new
regulations, however, focus on commercial and contract law; the legal structure
for criminal and civil law remains weak, and international law is virtually
nonexistent. Moreover, the law remains an instrument that applies primarily to
the “masses,” as opposed to the Party. As a result, China is still subject to
rule by law rather than the rule of law.
Chinese Perception of Legal Warfare in the
West. If China has an instrumentalist view of the law, it perceives that
others share that perspective, at least when it comes to the role of law in
international relations and especially warfare.
As Carl von Clausewitz observed,
“War is an act of force to compel our enemy to do our will…. [Attached to] force
are certain self-imposed, imperceptible limitations hardly worth mentioning,
known as international law and custom, but they scarcely weaken it.”
Nor is this solely a matter of legal philosophy. According to PLA analyses of
recent conflicts, including the two Gulf Wars, the United States is one of the
leading practitioners of legal warfare.
For example, Chinese analysts note that in the
first Gulf War, the United States obtained U.N. authorization for sanctions, as
well as the use of force, against Iraq, thus providing itself with a legal basis
for waging war.
The ability to impose sanctions legally is a powerful instrument
of legal warfare, as it affects all the partners of the sanctioned state
(including those who might have opposed the imposition of sanctions in the first
place).
Chinese authors also note that the U.S. used the law to justify such
actions as the bombing of both the al-Firdos bunker (which Chinese writings
describe as an air raid shelter) and retreating Iraqi forces.
Furthermore, PRC analyses note that in the Kosovo conflict, even though the
United States failed to obtain U.N. authorization, the U.S. argued that its
actions were “consistent with the law” because they were undertaken under NATO
auspices.
Finally, the PRC studied the second Gulf War, a conflict for which the U.S.
did not obtain formal U.N. authorization and in which NATO was not involved.
Beijing believes Washington was able to manipulate international law to portray
the Iraqis as violating previous U.N. resolutions regarding weapons of mass
destruction.
These violations were, in turn, sufficient to provide a legal
justification for the invasion of Iraq. Even more disturbing, in the view of PRC
authors, was the use of threats of legal prosecution, in many cases transmitted
directly to Iraqi generals to dissuade them from following any orders Saddam
Hussein might have issued for the use of WMD.
It should be noted that, from the Chinese perspective, it was the Iraqis who
waged more successful, albeit defensive, legal warfare in the second Gulf War.
Through adroit legal and diplomatic maneuvering, Iraqi officials were able to
prevent the U.S. from securing U.N. approval for its actions.
The Iraqis’ legal advantage, however, did not
translate into meaningful military or political benefit. According to PRC
analyses, by conducting over a decade of public opinion warfare, the United
States was able to demonize Saddam Hussein to the extent that Baghdad was unable
to capitalize on its legal warfare victories.
Consequently, no nation was
willing to support Iraq openly, despite (in Beijing’s view) Iraq’s superior
legal case and the lack of legal authority for the American action. Legal
warfare, therefore, is not decisive on its own—it must be backed by military
capability.
Aside from recent wars, the Chinese also perceive a
legal warfare component in two major irritants in Sino–U.S. relations. The
United States has long justified the sale of arms to Taiwan as a requirement of
the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA). In particular, the following clause is
essential: “The United States will make available to Taiwan such defense
articles and defense services in such quantity as may be necessary to enable
Taiwan to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability.”
From Beijing’s
perspective, the U.S. is claiming that its domestic laws justify, if not
require, interference in what Beijing has long termed a purely domestic
concern.
Similarly, Beijing has argued that the annual Department of Defense (DOD)
report to Congress on Chinese military developments is an obstacle to better
relations and has compared these documents with the Cold War–era Soviet
Military Power reports. That the report is mandated under the fiscal year
(FY) 2000 National Defense Authorization Act does little to assuage the Chinese,
who consider these reports to be an example of legal warfare facilitating public
opinion warfare, which in turn serves the American goal of stoking the “China
threat” fear.
Legal Warfare: American Views
In some ways, the Chinese definition of legal
warfare is not that different from the one held by U.S. analysts, who define
legal warfare (or lawfare) as “a method of warfare where law is used as a means
of realizing a military objective.”
Thus, both Chinese and American
analysts, at one level, see legal warfare as the use of law as an instrument of
war. Upon closer examination, however, the differences between the two nations’
understanding of legal warfare become clear.
First, American analysts often point out that discussions of legal warfare
are distinct from the use of laws to determine whether a nation is justified in
going to war (jus ad bellum) or to govern the conduct of armies and
nations in war (jus in bello). Whether a war is just is, from the
American perspective, an issue separate from the concept of legal warfare.
On the other hand, the proper conduct of armies and nations, especially in
the context of the Laws of Armed Conflict (LOAC), is seen as integral to legal
warfare. A brief, non-exhaustive review of American writings suggests that U.S.
analysts of legal warfare focus on how charges of violations of the LOAC might
be used to frustrate or hinder American military operations, especially in the
context of counterinsurgency (COIN) operations.
In his landmark 2001 essay on legal warfare,
then-Colonel Charles Dunlap observed that a particular form of legal warfare was
gaining broader acceptance: “a cynical manipulation of the rule of law and the
humanitarian values it represents.”
Dunlap raised the concern that lawfare
was pursued not so much to ensure that nations followed the LOAC, but to
“destroy the will to fight by undermining the public support that is
indispensable” for successful war-fighting, especially in democracies such as
the United States.
Dunlap himself has since somewhat modified this
view, emphasizing that the concept of legal warfare is neutral rather than
pernicious. He has recently described legal warfare as “the strategy of using—or
misusing—law as a substitute for traditional military means to achieve an
operational objective,” eliminating the presumption that it is misuse of the law
(while noting that such misuse may nonetheless occur).
Even where it is not seen as a deliberate misuse of
the law, there are concerns that legal warfare will hamper Western, and
especially American, military operations. As a summary of a 2003 Council on
Foreign Relations conference observes, “Lawfare can be used to undercut American
objectives.”
Furthermore, the 2005 National Defense
Strategy of the United States (NDS) placed lawfare (the use of “judicial
processes”) alongside terrorism and international fora in its list of American
vulnerabilities.
In the 2008 NDS, the Department of
Defense noted that there is a significant concern with violent extremist
movements “hiding behind international norms and national laws when it suits
them, and attempting to subvert them when it does not.”
The 2008 NDS goes on to
state that there is a need to address “growing legal and regulatory restrictions
that impede, and threaten to undermine, our military readiness.”
The U.S. remains concerned that Western military commanders will operate
under excessive restraint, choosing to err on the side of caution for fear of
violating international law—especially the LOAC. Exacerbating this undue caution
would be concerns about undercutting public support, both at home and abroad, if
military operations were seen as contravening legal standards.
In some respects, Western militaries have already
begun to restrain themselves. From the suspension of airstrikes after the
bombing of the al-Firdos bunker in the 1991 Gulf War to imposition of
restrictive rules of engagement governing airstrikes in Afghanistan, fear of
legal sanction (and attendant loss of public support) has constrained the West’s
ability to exploit its considerable military advantages.
For example, the DOD is
said to have forgone certain cyber attacks against Slobodan Milosevic during the
Kosovo conflict because of the possibility that such actions might be construed
by some as constituting war crimes.
More controversially, permission for an
orbiting Predator drone to attack Mullah Omar early in the Afghanistan war was
reportedly withheld due to legal concerns about civilians in Omar’s convoy.
Differences Between American and Chinese Views on Legal Warfare
In surveying (briefly) American and Chinese views on legal warfare, it
becomes apparent that there are both strategic and operational/tactical
differences between those views.
Strategic Level. The most important strategic difference between the
two nations is that there is little evidence that Chinese analysts and
decision-makers see legal warfare as a misuse of the law. Given the much more
instrumentalist view of the law in Chinese history, the idea that the law would
be employed toward a given end (in support of higher military and national
goals) would be consistent with Chinese culture but problematic, if not
antithetical, from the Western perspective.
Chinese writings specifically note that the purpose of legal warfare is to
obtain military, and not legal, victory. In this regard, it is essential to
recall that legal warfare occurs only in the context of actual warfare; legal
disputes and proceedings in a non-military context are not legal warfare.
Consequently, legal warfare, from the Chinese perspective, must focus on a
conflict’s political objective: attaining previously determined objectives and
retaining the political initiative.
A second strategic difference is that the Chinese view legal warfare (as well
as public opinion warfare and psychological warfare) as beginning before the
onset of formal hostilities—and continuing afterward. This distinction has
important implications, as it entails pre-war “preparation of the battlefield”
and post-conflict legal maneuverings that, like wartime legal warfare
activities, are aimed at fulfilling larger strategic goals.
In this regard, PRC writers assign equal importance to preparing the legal
and physical battlefields. Such preparations include the creation of legal
experts—both military lawyers and a cadre of internationally recognized legal
scholars—whose opinions will carry influence abroad as well as at home.
Such efforts also involve the legal preparations so
that legal warfare will have a proper foundation. While much of the discussion
focuses on domestic laws and regulations, it is also likely to involve
influencing international laws and customary legal understandings. One Chinese
article noted that publicizing Chinese laws and regulations is essential so that
Chinese legal perspectives are “recognized by the international community.”
In this light, the passage of several Chinese laws governing territorial
claims over Taiwan should be seen both as providing a foundation for legal
warfare and as a means of influencing the broad international community.
In
particular, the 2005 Anti-Secession Law should be seen as providing the basic
legal justification for any move against Taiwan (or Tibet or Xinjiang). In
addition, though, the 1992 Law on the Territorial Sea and the Contiguous Zone
may also have a legal warfare function even though it was enacted before the
recent focus on lawfare. Similarly, China’s idiosyncratic interpretations of the
U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), whether it is regarding its
claims to the South China Sea or to the Arctic, should be seen as
strategic-level preparation for legal warfare.
Operational/Tactical Level. The PRC’s discussions of legal warfare
(and political warfare in general) emphasize the importance of coordinating
military and legal operations. This blurring of the political and the
martial is in sharp contrast to the attitude of U.S. military operators who
consider psychological operations (renamed military information support
operations or MISO) as distinct from typical military activities.
In this regard, the General Political Department
may simplify the PLA’s legal warfare efforts. At present, there is an entire GPD
chain of command that is separate from the operational chain of command (but
still within the PLA). Therefore, the PLA is potentially able to execute a
unified political warfare campaign from strategic to tactical level.
Furthermore, because of the intimate, extensive links between operational and
political officers, it is possible that legal warfare operations may be
integrated into military operations more smoothly than in Western military
operations. When considered alongside the PLA’s commitment to waging political
warfare under a unified command structure, these facts suggest that there may be
a political warfare cell within the campaign headquarters that oversees Chinese
legal warfare operations, especially within the joint campaign command
headquarters (JCCH).
Such coordinated legal warfare operations, in turn, would most likely be
offensive in nature. As noted, there is a fundamental cultural divergence about
the role of the law in general, a divergence that extends to the LOAC. Western
military legal experts appear more focused on ensuring that their forces and
commanders are not liable to war crimes charges than they are on undertaking
offensive legal warfare, unlike their Chinese counterparts.
This variance is compounded by the differences between the PRC and the U.S.
in their allocation of legal warfare responsibilities. With regard to the
American side, it is diplomats (informed by a variety of legal and political
advisers) who are often responsible for “offensive” legal warfare rather than
traditional military forces, much less military legal bodies. Not only are these
actions not necessarily coordinated with military actions; they are not even
necessarily considered (by the implementing bodies) to be offensive legal
warfare.
By contrast, Chinese writings suggest a conception
of legal warfare that would involve a range of activities intended to seize the
initiative on the legal and public opinion battlefield in addition to disrupting
an opponent’s military activities. These activities would include legal
coercion/deterrence efforts, which would warn an opponent that they were under
close scrutiny for possible violations of the laws of armed conflict; legal
strikes, which would charge the enemy with operational activities in violation
of international and domestic laws; and legal counterattacks, which would
highlight the enemy’s attempts to slant or misrepresent international law,
unfavorably contrast their conduct with one’s own (in legal terms), and counter
any enemy legal activities.
Potential Chinese Application of Legal Warfare
Chinese planners are almost certainly preparing
legal war plans aimed at “controlling the enemy through the law, or using the
law to constrain the enemy [yifa zhidi huo yong fa zhi di].”
Some of
these efforts are likely indistinguishable from typical governmental activities,
such as the expansion of the military legal infrastructure.
For example, China
has been expanding its entire corpus of laws while training additional lawyers,
so it is quite probable that the military would benefit from additional human
resources whether it was engaging in legal warfare or not.
The PRC, however, will likely take some actions that stand out as obvious
attempts to advance a legal warfare agenda. In the pre-war context, some of the
possible legal warfare measures include research into third-party laws and
regulations and exploitation of identified vulnerabilities, influencing
international legal customs and laws, and creating a cadre of international
legal experts. The last two have already been mentioned. The first, however, is
an important additional consideration.
There can be little doubt that the PLA and Chinese leaders in general are
well aware that the success of U.S. military operations often hinges on access
to foreign bases. Much of the recent discussion of anti-access/area-denial
operations has focused on the physical weapons that might be employed to prevent
American military access. But the increasing emphasis on political warfare
suggests that there are additional (rather than alternative) anti-access
measures available to Beijing.
The most obvious such measure would be the filing of a variety of legal
motions in American courts aimed at delaying any American intervention. These
motions could be filed in response to a host of issues, ranging from the War
Powers Act to the right to mobilize various American resources.
More subtle
actions could include legal action related to environmental or labor law—areas
that, while not directly related to foreign policy and national security, could
still have an impact on U.S. military operations.
Such efforts are not limited to the U.S. and may also be aimed at any of
America’s allies and security partners—such as Australia, Singapore, and the
Philippines—that might provide the U.S. with forward basing facilities. Such
efforts would be coordinated not only with military activities (overflights,
naval exercises), but also with economic measures such as promises of expanded
investment or threats of factory closures, as well as diplomatic-legal steps
such as support in other territorial or economic disputes (e.g., World Trade
Organization cases).
In particular, Japan appears vulnerable to legal warfare. Japan’s pacifist
constitution (as embodied in Article IX) and Japanese laws and policies
pertaining to national defense and military engagement (e.g., rules governing
arms trade) create fertile ground for the raising of legal issues about support
provided by Tokyo to the United States.
One could imagine, for example, legal
challenges to the U.S.–Japan defense guidelines in a period of tension, coupled
with a PRC public diplomacy and public opinion campaign warning Japan of dire
consequences should it challenge China. Similarly, any provision of Japanese
weapons, or even fuel and food, to American forces might be seen as contravening
Japanese rules regarding arms exports to belligerents.
Such challenges are likely to begin in peacetime, both (ideally for the
Chinese) in order to prevent Japanese cooperation with the U.S. and in order to
hamper American logistical planning.
For example, American military planners
would have to take into account the possibility that Japanese courts might limit
Japanese cooperation with the U.S. Such a scenario would require American
military planners to account for the spare parts and ammunition expected from
Japanese sources—how much additional transport space would be required? This
might not be a likely scenario, but given Japanese political ineffectiveness
over the past several years, it must be considered.
The intensity of such measures is likely to rise as a crisis deepens or as
military operations become more imminent. Such an uptick in activity would
provide valuable intelligence and warning (I&W); however, in this scenario,
local lawyers—not Chinese nationals or the Chinese government—might take many of
these theoretical legal actions.
Nor would these measures necessarily be carried out at China’s behest;
organizations or persons with no visible sympathies or links to the PRC could
drive these actions. For example, an environmental activist group could attempt
to limit the U.S. Navy’s anti-submarine warfare activities on the grounds that
sunken nuclear-powered boats would constitute an environmental hazard.
Similarly, where there is universal jurisdiction, there might also be attempts
to use third-party national courts to issue warrants for the arrest or subpoena
of American and allied military and political leaders, again without an explicit
Chinese role.
In the wartime context, possible legal warfare measures include charges of
war crimes against U.S. and allied forces and exploitation of “fault lines”
between U.S. and allied laws. As noted, American analysts are concerned that
during a conflict, the U.S. military might be accused of violating the LOAC,
particularly if enemy forces tried to spark such a violation by, for instance,
hiding forces among civilians.
Indeed, such concerns are hardly hypothetical:
Consider the American experience with the Iraqis in the 2003 conflict (where
Iraqi forces were deployed near mosques and hospitals) and the Israeli
experience in Lebanon in 2006 (where Hezballah forces dispersed forces and
matériel among civilians)—two recent examples of deliberate attempts to create
violations of the LOAC. The potential resources available to a nation as large
and wealthy as the PRC would multiply the problem substantially.
Other possible
forms of legal warfare might entail activities intended to raise doubts about
which nation started a conflict.
Chinese legal warfare measures would almost certainly occur in conjunction
with psychological and public opinion/media warfare measures. Chinese analyses
of the second Iraq War suggest that the ability of the coalition to contact
Iraqi commanders and warn them not to employ weapons of mass destruction is
deeply disturbing. It would not be surprising if the PLA sought to engage in
comparable legal and psychological warfare operations against U.S. and allied
commanders, attempting to dissuade them from engaging in military activities
(e.g., attacking key infrastructure or transportation targets) that could be
seen as violating norms or laws.
Moreover, in the context of a Taiwan contingency, Chinese legal warfare would
most likely include not only offensive legal operations against the United
States and its allies, but also a campaign in support of public opinion/media
warfare measures intended to demonstrate that China’s actions were justified.
Such a campaign would entail references to the Anti-Secession Law, perhaps as
part of a legal/public opinion warfare effort to portray the CCP as having no
choice but to act. At the same time, Beijing would almost certainly argue that
any such conflict was a domestic issue because, as the PRC believes, Taiwan is
part of China. How such a legal argument (that conflict with Taiwan was an
internal affair) would affect Chinese policies ranging from the PRC’s
“no-first-use” of nuclear weapons through treatment of prisoners of war is
unclear.
Current PRC behavior suggests that one should not necessarily expect the
Chinese to refrain from engaging in activities that they condemn in others. The
Chinese do not necessarily accept that they operate under the same legal regime
that they expect of others. For instance, the Chinese claim that although
Okinotori (controlled by Japan) should not be an island, Chinese-claimed
portions of the Spratlys should be. In 2010, they argued that the United States
should not engage in naval activities in the Yellow Sea (an international body
of water) while they themselves were engaged in major transits of the Miyako
Straits. These actions suggest that China does not necessarily feel bound by the
rules it invokes.
In the post-war context, Chinese legal warfare efforts would be aimed at
consolidating gains that had been made and obtaining additional benefits where
possible. It is difficult, at this time, to determine what those legal warfare
measures might entail, but they would likely include adjudication of new
frontiers and borders, dealing with prisoners of war (both those captured by the
Chinese and those suffered by the PLA), and addressing war crimes charges. China
almost certainly would also continue to push legal arguments that justified
actions it had undertaken.
An American Response: The Future of U.S. Lawfare
American emphasis on the rule of law has generally assumed that one’s
adversaries will not engage in offensive lawfare—legal activities that are
designed specifically to hamstring the opposition rather than seek legal
redress. Chinese writings on legal warfare, however, serve as a warning that
this might not be the case in the event of a Sino–American conflict. Equally as
important, however, Chinese analysis suggests that international law, including
the structuring of treaties, must be considered through the prism of legal
warfare and how it might be exploited against American and allied interests.
The United States therefore must take steps to prepare for the possibility of
legal warfare and incorporate defensive measures into its strategic,
operational, and tactical policies. Specifically, the U.S. should:
- Carefully examine new international commitments. At the strategic level, the growing Chinese interest in legal warfare highlights the need to examine new international commitments carefully. For example, Chinese legal warfare operations suggest that it would be wise for America to remain outside the U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) regime. It has been insinuated that American failure to join UNCLOS leaves the U.S. vulnerable to legal warfare under UNCLOS, but a treaty that the United States has not ratified can hardly be seen as constraining the U.S. By contrast, once the treaty has been ratified, the U.S. would be subject to its jurisdiction.In the context of U.S. naval operations, the PRC’s legal warfare could pose real problems. The Chinese claim that, under their interpretation of UNCLOS, foreign naval operations within another nation’s 200 nautical mile Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) should be subject to the approval of the owning state.[28] Such a position is at odds with the American interpretation but not necessarily that of other states, including India.[29]There is little question that the Chinese are trying to use UNCLOS to restrict U.S. naval operations at a time when the Chinese navy does not yet have the wherewithal to do so directly. Joining UNCLOS would only further jeopardize American freedom of navigation. Yet it is by no means clear that China would feel itself constrained by the UNCLOS rules. In the ongoing confrontation with the Philippines over islands and shoals in the South China Sea, China has refused to submit to UNCLOS arbitration, although both Manila and Beijing are signatories.Similarly, American championing of an international code of conduct for space operations begs the question of whether such a code of conduct could ultimately be wielded against American national security interests. As China seeks to develop anti-access/area-denial capabilities, American countermeasures are likely to entail operations against Chinese sensor networks—including space-based ones. Yet the code of conduct proposed by the Obama Administration would restrict interference with space-based systems (including jamming) and forbid the testing of systems that might generate space debris. If a military will fight the way it trains, how are American forces expected to practice defeating anti-access/area-denial systems? The lives of thousands of American servicemen hang on the answer to that question.
- Incorporate legal warfare countermeasures into U.S. operational planning and training. At the operational and tactical levels, Chinese legal warfare suggests a need for U.S. operational planning and training that incorporates legal countermeasures. For an example of an effective legal countermeasure program, the U.S. need look no further than the Israeli “operational verification” measures, which provide Israeli combat units with trained documentation teams. In order to counter charges of illegal activities, these teams provide real-time documentation of military activities.[30] Such a move, of course, effectively cedes the initiative to opponents, as it grants them a measure of credibility by viewing their charges as something that requires rebuttal.
- Train American military legal experts to be more conversant with foreign military legal systems. Rather than focusing on how Chinese forces might be subjected to others’ application of legal warfare, PLA writings suggest that the Chinese will focus on identifying how opposing forces may be violating the LOAC and national and international laws. Consequently, American military legal experts should become more conversant with the military legal systems of the PLA (and other potential opponents) so as to be able to assess their adherence to the LOAC and their own national laws. In the cases of violations, not only should there be prosecution (which may not occur until after the conflict is concluded), but ample publicity should be focused on foreign failure to adhere to international norms, the LOAC, and national legal regimens.
- Address issues of legal interoperability with allied and friendly forces. One question posed by the legal warfare debate is of particular concern: The issue of legal interoperability and whether differences among allies’ legal systems and infrastructures might not create points of vulnerability.In NATO’s Operation Allied Force in Kosovo, for example, “differences between the nineteen coalition members over what constituted a legal and legitimate target impacted unity of effort, lengthened NATO’s military decision cycle, and adversely affected the efficiency and morale of tactical level units.”[31] Lawyers from many of the coalition forces each reviewed targets according to national laws and regulations, apparently in an uncoordinated fashion and often with very different views of what constituted a legitimate military target. NATO forces faced a relatively overmatched opponent who had not spent months or years potentially preparing for legal warfare (including influencing both national and international laws). Against the PRC, such legal interoperability problems could be problematic—especially if exacerbated by pre-war attempts to alter or modify such legal concepts as what constitutes valid military targets.To avoid the potential problems of incompatible legal strictures, there needs to be pre-war engagement of key allies regarding such issues as targeting policies and a reconciliation of points of difference. Just as communications, logistics, and other support functions cannot be coordinated “on the fly,” neither can the legal policies that govern how the military selects its targets.
Preparing for Legal Warfare
Given the PRC’s understanding of lawfare as an offensive weapon, the U.S.
must alter its current legal warfare strategy; no longer can America regard
lawfare from a purely defensive standpoint. Indeed, offensive legal
warfare—whether practiced by the PRC or by militarily overmatched insurgents—can
neutralize America’s military might while damaging its allies and strategic
partners.
Sun Tzu, the great Chinese military strategist, once cautioned, “Know your
enemy.” The American military, in planning its future lawfare strategies,
especially with regard to the PRC, would be well served to heed Sun-Tzu’s
advice.
—Dean Cheng is Research Fellow in Chinese Political and
Security Affairs in the Asian Studies Center at The Heritage Foundation.
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